SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Gloucester City |
42.37% ( -1) | 25.25% ( 0.16) | 32.39% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.42% ( -0.41) | 47.58% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.21% ( -0.38) | 69.78% ( 0.38) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% ( -0.65) | 22.39% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.1% ( -0.98) | 55.9% ( 0.98) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% ( 0.34) | 27.89% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.5% ( 0.43) | 63.5% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.37% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.39% |
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