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National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
3 - 0
Telford

Byrne (1'), Pearce (50'), Hemmings (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kidderminster Harriers and AFC Telford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 0-2 Kidderminster
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 0-4 Gloucester City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 14.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawAFC Telford United
63.98% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05) 21.7% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 14.32% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.51% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.53% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)51.47% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)73.27% (0.071000000000012 0.07)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)15.45% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.69% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)44.3% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
AFC Telford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.64% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)47.36% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)82.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 63.96%
    AFC Telford United 14.32%
    Draw 21.7%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawAFC Telford United
1-0 @ 13.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.75%
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 63.96%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.47% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 14.32%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fylde 0-2 Kidderminster
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Buxton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-0 Alfreton
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-1 King's Lynn
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 0-4 Gloucester City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-2 Telford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 0-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 1-2 Telford
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 2-3 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Telford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North


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