SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | AFC Telford United |
62.06% ( 0.09) | 22.12% ( -0.04) | 15.81% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.53% ( 0.1) | 50.46% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.61% ( 0.09) | 72.39% ( -0.09) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.26% ( 0.06) | 15.74% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.15% ( 0.12) | 44.85% ( -0.12) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.36% ( 0) | 44.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.35% ( 0) | 80.65% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | AFC Telford United |
| 1-0 @ 12.99% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 62.06% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.12% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 15.81% |
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