SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Buxton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Boston United |
51.22% ( -0.05) | 24.26% ( 0.04) | 24.53% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.97% ( -0.12) | 48.03% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.8% ( -0.11) | 70.2% ( 0.11) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.25% ( -0.06) | 18.75% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.86% ( -0.11) | 50.14% ( 0.11) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.07% ( -0.04) | 33.93% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.4% ( -0.05) | 70.6% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Boston United |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 51.21% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.53% |
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