SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-0 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Brackley Town |
23.15% ( 0.02) | 25.93% ( 0.01) | 50.92% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.23% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.2% ( -0.02) | 55.8% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.07% ( -0.01) | 76.93% ( 0.02) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.53% ( 0.01) | 39.47% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.83% ( 0.01) | 76.17% ( -0.01) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.03% ( -0.02) | 21.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.73% ( -0.03) | 55.27% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Brackley Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.68% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.75% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.33% 3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 1.41% Total : 23.15% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 13.14% 0-2 @ 9.96% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 50.92% |
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