Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-0 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
