SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Spennymoor Town | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Brackley Town | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Gloucester City | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Chester FC | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Hereford United | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Buxton | 7 | -2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 48.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Hereford United |
48.52% ( 0.42) | 26.88% ( -0.2) | 24.6% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 46.05% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.93% ( 0.56) | 58.08% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.26% ( 0.44) | 78.75% ( -0.43) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( 0.44) | 24.02% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.72% ( 0.62) | 58.28% ( -0.62) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.61% ( 0.12) | 39.39% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.92% ( 0.11) | 76.09% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.46% Total : 48.51% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.43% Total : 24.61% |
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