Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 54.77%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
