SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 49.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Darlington |
49.65% ( -1.86) | 25.63% ( 0.64) | 24.72% ( 1.23) |
| Both teams to score 49.66% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.58% ( -1.44) | 53.42% ( 1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.04% ( -1.23) | 74.95% ( 1.23) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% ( -1.37) | 21.54% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.39% ( -2.14) | 54.61% ( 2.14) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.29% ( 0.31) | 36.7% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.51% ( 0.31) | 73.49% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.34)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.33% Total : 49.64% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.8% Total : 24.72% |
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