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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Chorley |
38.46% ( 0.22) | 26.62% ( 0.1) | 34.91% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 52.03% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.09% ( -0.44) | 52.91% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.48% ( -0.38) | 74.52% ( 0.38) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( -0.09) | 26.81% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% ( -0.11) | 62.1% ( 0.12) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( -0.41) | 28.9% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.22% ( -0.51) | 64.78% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.46% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.91% |
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