Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
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