Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 63.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 0-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
