Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
