Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Buxton	Draw	Chester FC
35.72% ( -0)	27.32% ( 0.01)	36.96% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.89% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.35% (

-0.04)

55.65% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.2% (

-0.03)

76.8% (

0.03)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26% (

-0.02)

29.74% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.19% (

-0.02)

65.81% (

0.02)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01% (

-0.02)

28.99% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.12% (

-0.03)

64.88% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Buxton 35.72%

Chester FC 36.95%

Draw 27.31%

Buxton	Draw	Chester FC
1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.72%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.95%