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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Buxton |
35.68% ( 0.03) | 24.3% ( -0.01) | 40.02% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.17% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.52% ( 0.07) | 42.48% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.11% ( 0.07) | 64.88% ( -0.07) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( 0.05) | 23.52% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.43% ( 0.07) | 57.56% ( -0.07) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( 0.02) | 21.31% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.73% ( 0.03) | 54.26% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Buxton |
| 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 35.68% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.66% Total : 40.02% |
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