SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Gloucester City |
56.88% ( 0.07) | 23.28% ( 0.03) | 19.84% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.6% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( -0.22) | 49.09% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( -0.2) | 71.17% ( 0.21) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( -0.06) | 17.04% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.81% ( -0.1) | 47.19% ( 0.1) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.99% ( -0.23) | 39.01% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.27% ( -0.22) | 75.73% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 56.87% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.28% | 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.42% Total : 19.84% |
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