SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
45.41% ( -0.02) | 26.52% ( 0.03) | 28.06% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.73% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.35% ( -0.12) | 54.65% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.02% ( -0.1) | 75.98% ( 0.1) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( -0.06) | 23.99% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% ( -0.09) | 58.24% ( 0.09) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.42% ( -0.08) | 34.57% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.7% ( -0.08) | 71.29% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 45.41% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 28.06% |
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