SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Chester FC |
27.83% ( -0.02) | 24.12% ( -0.01) | 48.04% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.14% ( 0.02) | 44.86% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.78% ( 0.02) | 67.22% ( -0.01) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( -0.01) | 29.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.33% ( -0.01) | 65.66% ( 0.01) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.21% ( 0.02) | 18.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.8% ( 0.03) | 50.19% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Chester FC |
| 2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 27.83% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.34% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 48.04% |
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