Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.