Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 16.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chorley in this match.