SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Chorley |
43.42% ( -0.09) | 28.29% ( -0.02) | 28.29% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.92% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.14% ( 0.09) | 60.85% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.11% ( 0.07) | 80.88% ( -0.07) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% ( -0.01) | 27.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.57% ( -0.01) | 63.43% ( 0.01) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.24% ( 0.13) | 37.76% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.46% ( 0.13) | 74.53% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.37% 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 43.42% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 28.28% |
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