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National League North | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
2 - 2
Scarborough Ath

Willoughby (14'), Caton (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Weledji (76'), Thornton (90+3')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Scarborough Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chester 0-1 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-3 Gloucester City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 23.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Scarborough Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Chester FCDrawScarborough Athletic
51.67% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 24.61% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 23.72% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79% (-0.152 -0.15)50.21% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83% (-0.134 -0.13)72.17% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)19.42% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)51.24% (0.15 0.15)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.18% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)35.82% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.4% (-0.052000000000003 -0.05)72.6% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 51.67%
    Scarborough Athletic 23.72%
    Draw 24.6%
Chester FCDrawScarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 11.4% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.043 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.14% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.01% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 23.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chester 0-1 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 0-0 Chester
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 2-0 Kidderminster
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 4-2 Banbury
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-2 Chester
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-2 Chester
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-3 Gloucester City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 3-2 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-0 Scarborough Ath
Monday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 4-1 Leamington
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-0 Alfreton
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-2 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League North


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