SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
41.11% ( 2.6) | 27.27% ( -0.62) | 31.62% ( -1.98) |
| Both teams to score 49.25% ( 1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.91% ( 1.9) | 56.09% ( -1.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.84% ( 1.52) | 77.16% ( -1.52) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( 2.36) | 26.84% ( -2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% ( 3.01) | 62.14% ( -3.01) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.32% ( -0.39) | 32.68% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.77% ( -0.44) | 69.23% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.41)3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.4)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.1% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.66)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.85) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.54)1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.62% |
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