Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
