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National League North | Gameweek 27
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Deva Stadium

Chester
2 - 3
Hereford

Burke (24'), Williams (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hodgkiss (45+2'), Kouhyar (65'), Owen-Evans (82' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Hereford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Chester FCDrawHereford United
48.98%24.05%26.97%
Both teams to score 56.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85%45.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51%67.49%
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.48%18.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.24%49.76%
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.59%30.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38%66.62%
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 48.98%
    Hereford United 26.97%
    Draw 24.05%
Chester FCDrawHereford United
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 9.5%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 5.36%
3-0 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 48.98%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 5.67%
0-0 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-1 @ 6.71%
0-2 @ 3.99%
1-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 26.97%

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