Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
