Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Bishop's Stortford win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.08) 
