Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
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