Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Southport had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
Result | ||
Southport | Draw | Chorley |
28.22% (![]() | 26.16% (![]() | 45.61% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.81% (![]() | 53.19% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.24% (![]() | 74.76% (![]() |
Southport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.32% (![]() | 33.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.67% (![]() | 70.33% (![]() |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.73% (![]() | 23.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.81% (![]() | 57.19% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Southport | Draw | Chorley |
1-0 @ 8.53% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.68% ( ![]() Other @ 2.36% Total : 28.23% | 1-1 @ 12.43% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.83% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 11.42% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.07% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.33% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.6% |
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