SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Southport had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Chorley |
28.22% ( -0.53) | 26.16% ( -0.1) | 45.61% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.81% ( 0.11) | 53.19% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.24% ( 0.09) | 74.76% ( -0.1) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% ( -0.35) | 33.67% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.67% ( -0.38) | 70.33% ( 0.38) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% ( 0.34) | 23.26% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.81% ( 0.5) | 57.19% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.36% Total : 28.23% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.6% |
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