Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brackley Town in this match.