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National League North | Gameweek 23
Feb 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
Whaddon Road, Cheltenham
C

Gloucester City
1 - 1
Chorley

Omotayo (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Newby (70')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Chorley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawChorley
36.59%24.63%38.78%
Both teams to score 59.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.05%43.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.66%66.34%
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29%23.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16%57.84%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43%22.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83%56.17%
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 36.59%
    Chorley 38.78%
    Draw 24.63%
Gloucester CityDrawChorley
2-1 @ 8.25%
1-0 @ 7.7%
2-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 36.59%
1-1 @ 11.46%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-1 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 2.94%
1-4 @ 1.58%
2-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.78%

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