Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
