SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AFC Telford United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Alfreton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Banbury United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Chester FC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Chorley | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Curzon Ashton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 1-0 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Chorley |
22.17% ( 0.42) | 26.41% ( 0.4) | 51.41% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 44.85% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.65% ( -1.02) | 58.35% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.03% ( -0.8) | 78.96% ( 0.8) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.11% ( -0.16) | 41.89% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.66% ( -0.14) | 78.34% ( 0.13) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( -0.79) | 22.83% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.45% ( -1.18) | 56.55% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 1.55% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.14% Total : 22.17% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 14.12% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 10.43% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.68% Total : 51.4% |
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