Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.