Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford Park Avenue win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Southport had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford Park Avenue win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
