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National League North | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
9 - 0
Gloucester City

Cardwell (8'), Calveley (18'), Hall (31', 61'), Jonathan Ustabasi (45'), Baines (53'), Shenton (70'), Blakeman (72'), Alli (76')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Robert (19')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Gloucester City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 9-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawGloucester City
45.74%25.25%29.01%
Both teams to score 54.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.97%49.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.9%71.11%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56%21.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54%54.46%
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09%30.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79%67.21%
Score Analysis
    Chorley 45.74%
    Gloucester City 29.01%
    Draw 25.24%
ChorleyDrawGloucester City
1-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 9.23%
2-0 @ 7.86%
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 45.74%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.63%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.78%
1-2 @ 7.03%
0-2 @ 4.57%
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 29.01%

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