Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 9-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.