Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%).