Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
