Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
