SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Tamworth |
35.86% ( 3.29) | 27.02% ( 0.41) | 37.11% ( -3.72) |
| Both teams to score 50.83% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.53% ( -1.21) | 54.46% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.17% ( -1.01) | 75.82% ( 1) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( 1.51) | 29.07% ( -1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( 1.83) | 64.99% ( -1.84) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% ( -2.65) | 28.32% ( 2.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.94% ( -3.46) | 64.05% ( 3.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.86) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.43)2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.77)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.31)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.41)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.86% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.96% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.5)0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.71)1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.49)0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.53)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.25)Other @ 2.74% Total : 37.1% |
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