SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Tamworth |
33.57% ( -0.78) | 27.24% ( 0.49) | 39.19% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 49.87% ( -1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.45% ( -2.03) | 55.55% ( 2.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.28% ( -1.69) | 76.72% ( 1.69) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% ( -1.52) | 31.07% ( 1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.61% ( -1.82) | 67.39% ( 1.82) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( -0.78) | 27.64% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.81% ( -1.02) | 63.19% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.01% Total : 33.57% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.66)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.18% |
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