Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Guiseley win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chester FC in this match.