Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gateshead in this match.