Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 70.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 11.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.96%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
