Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.