Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.