Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
