Chorley
3 - 2
Hereford

Blakeman (58'), Holmes (65'), Hall (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gordon (14'), Storey (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Hereford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Hereford United
56.65%	22.81%	20.54%

Both teams to score 53.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.76%

46.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.47%

68.53%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.89%

16.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.48%

45.52%

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.35%

36.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.56%

73.43%

Score Analysis

Chorley 56.64%

Hereford United 20.54%

Draw 22.8%

Chorley	Draw	Hereford United
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 9.84% 3-1 @ 6.01% 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 1% 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.28% Total : 56.64%	1-1 @ 10.81% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.8%	0-1 @ 5.93% 1-2 @ 5.43% 0-2 @ 2.97% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.54%