Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 67.01%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 13.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
Result | ||
Tamworth | Draw | Darlington |
67.01% ( -0.05) | 19.53% ( 0.02) | 13.45% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.93% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.72% ( 0.01) | 44.28% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.34% ( 0.01) | 66.66% ( -0.01) |
Tamworth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.73% ( -0.01) | 12.27% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.98% ( -0.02) | 38.02% ( 0.02) |
Darlington Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.77% ( 0.05) | 44.23% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.69% ( 0.04) | 80.31% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Tamworth | Draw | Darlington |
2-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 67% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 19.53% | 0-1 @ 4.43% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.32% Total : 13.45% |
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