SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Darlington |
60.13% ( 0.02) | 21.63% ( -0.02) | 18.24% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.63% ( 0.09) | 44.37% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% ( 0.08) | 66.74% ( -0.08) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.67% ( 0.03) | 14.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.83% ( 0.06) | 42.17% ( -0.06) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.99% ( 0.05) | 38.01% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.22% ( 0.05) | 74.78% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 60.13% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 18.25% |
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