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National League North | Gameweek 13
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
4 - 1
Boston

Conlan (35', 72'), Whitehead (59'), Ligendza (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McLintock (64')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Fylde and Boston United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston 3-0 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.

Result
FyldeDrawBoston United
49.45% (-0.497 -0.5) 25.84% (0.285 0.29) 24.71% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 49.07% (-0.628 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81% (-0.92299999999999 -0.92)54.19% (0.92299999999999 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (-0.777 -0.78)75.6% (0.77800000000001 0.78)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (-0.59700000000001 -0.6)21.95% (0.597 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77% (-0.912 -0.91)55.23% (0.912 0.91)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87% (-0.321 -0.32)37.13% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08% (-0.317 -0.32)73.92% (0.318 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Fylde 49.44%
    Boston United 24.71%
    Draw 25.83%
FyldeDrawBoston United
1-0 @ 12.35% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.44%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.07% (0.219 0.22)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 24.71%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Fylde
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Darlington 1-2 Fylde
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Fylde 1-0 Peterborough Sports
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-1 Fylde
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 2-1 Fylde
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 3-0 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Peterborough Sports 1-1 Boston
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-0 Alfreton
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-3 Chester
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Boston
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North


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