SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Fylde |
37.08% ( 4.84) | 26.95% ( -0.52) | 35.97% ( -4.32) |
| Both teams to score 51.08% ( 2.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.83% ( 2.53) | 54.16% ( -2.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.42% ( 2.08) | 75.57% ( -2.08) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.8% ( 4.36) | 28.19% ( -4.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.11% ( 5.2) | 63.89% ( -5.2) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( -1.29) | 28.86% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% ( -1.64) | 64.73% ( 1.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.82)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.87)3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.7)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.64)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.37)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.32)Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.08% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.84)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.34)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -1.45) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 6.28% ( -1.17)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.3)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.6)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.96% |
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