Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boston United | Draw | Alfreton Town |
36.65% ( -4.55) | 25.38% ( 0.13) | 37.97% ( 4.43) |
Both teams to score 56.4% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( -0.11) | 47.41% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.38% ( -0.1) | 69.62% ( 0.1) |
Boston United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.74% ( -2.43) | 25.26% ( 2.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.98% ( -3.46) | 60.02% ( 3.47) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.46% ( 2.49) | 24.54% ( -2.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.98% ( 3.37) | 59.02% ( -3.37) |
Score Analysis |
Boston United | Draw | Alfreton Town |
1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.56) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.86) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.56) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.62) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.3) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.3) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.65% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.64) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.62) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.84) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.54) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.56) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.27) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.25) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.87% Total : 37.97% |
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