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National League North | Gameweek 8
Nov 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Jakemans Stadium
AT

Boston
1 - 0
Alfreton

Pollock (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Boston United and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston 2-3 Chester
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 1-2 Alfreton
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Boston UnitedDrawAlfreton Town
36.65% (-4.55 -4.55) 25.38% (0.125 0.13) 37.97% (4.428 4.43)
Both teams to score 56.4% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (-0.11 -0.11)47.41% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (-0.102 -0.1)69.62% (0.10499999999999 0.1)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (-2.427 -2.43)25.26% (2.429 2.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.98% (-3.463 -3.46)60.02% (3.465 3.47)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (2.49 2.49)24.54% (-2.488 -2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (3.374 3.37)59.02% (-3.371 -3.37)
Score Analysis
    Boston United 36.65%
    Alfreton Town 37.97%
    Draw 25.38%
Boston UnitedDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.584 -0.58)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.563 -0.56)
2-0 @ 5.87% (-0.864 -0.86)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.555 -0.56)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.622 -0.62)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.3 -0.3)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.298 -0.3)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 36.65%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.636 0.64)
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.617 0.62)
0-2 @ 6.12% (0.836 0.84)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.539 0.54)
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.561 0.56)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.199 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.271 0.27)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.253 0.25)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 37.97%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Boston 2-3 Chester
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Boston
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 0-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-4 Hereford
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-2 Boston
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 1-2 Boston
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 1-2 Alfreton
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-0 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 2-2 Alfreton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-2 Gloucester City
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 1-2 Alfreton
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-2 Peterborough Sports
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North


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